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2026 · Week 6

2026 · Week 6 · Oct 18, 2026

Lost 19–26 at New England.

NYJ 19NE 26

· New England Patriots · Away game · Gillette Stadium · Outdoors

The 2026 seasonFind another game

The game on record

Game summary.

Win chance · play by play

34.4% was the Jets’ best chance to win after halftime.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4
Model-estimated Jets win probability before each recorded play · play sequence · 159 usable points
Open the interactive game tape

Drives · where each one went

11 Jets drives: 1 touchdown, 4 field goals.

  1. Jets, Q1 14:54: from own 28 to opp 24, 13 plays, field goal.
  2. Jets, Q1 6:40: from own 20 to own 4, 4 plays, punt.
  3. Jets, Q1 4:01: from own 25 to opp 30, 8 plays, turnover on downs.
  4. Jets, Q2 11:35: from own 3 to opp 39, 8 plays, turnover on downs.
  5. Jets, Q2 1:43: from own 24 to own 30, 4 plays, punt.
  6. Jets, Q2 0:08: from own 31 to own 31, 1 plays, end of half.
  7. Jets, Q3 11:48: from own 40 to the end zone, 3 plays, touchdown.
  8. Jets, Q3 8:10: from opp 36 to opp 18, 6 plays, field goal.
  9. Jets, Q4 14:03: from own 20 to opp 48, 4 plays, turnover.
  10. Jets, Q4 10:58: from own 45 to opp 22, 9 plays, field goal.
  11. Jets, Q4 1:08: from own 25 to opp 18, 6 plays, field goal.
Each bar is one drive, from its first snap to its last (into the end zone for a touchdown), across the field from the Jets’ goal line on the left. Drives with no snap, such as a kickoff returned for a touchdown, are not shown. From nflverse play-by-play.

From the play-by-play · Q3 5:31

Largest second-half probability decrease. -8.4 percentage points

Jets model win-probability change on this play: -8.4 percentage points.

Measured game evidence

What each offense produced.

Jets at NEWeek 6 ·

EPA / play

Expected points added
JetsOffense
-0.03759 plays
NEOffense
+0.01267 plays

Positive-EPA play rate

Included plays with EPA above zero
JetsOffense
49.2%59 plays
NEOffense
43.3%67 plays

Passing EPA / dropback

Expected points added
JetsOffense
+0.17833 dropbacks
NEOffense
+0.22435 dropbacks

Designed-rush EPA / rush

Expected points added
JetsOffense
-0.31026 rush plays
NEOffense
-0.21932 rush plays
About this analysis

Final score and play-by-play: nflverse (opens in a new tab). Probability is a model estimate. The curve contains usable source points; gaps are not reconstructed. Archive rankings exclude flagged scores and ties.

The featured play uses Jets-oriented model probability change after halftime, including overtime. The change does not explain why the game was won or lost.

Venue, roof and kickoff weather come from the nflverse schedule record for this game; they describe recorded conditions, not an effect on the result.

Sources and analysis methods

ajetsfan

Everything else.