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New York at CLE ·

The final 1:55.

The Jets erased a 13-point deficit in the final 1:55 at Cleveland and won 31–30. Explore the recorded plays and the model’s pre-play estimates.

Confirmed final

NYJ31

CLE30

Quarter 4

1:55

Recorded play 01 / 21

Lowest estimate in this sequence0.4%Jets pre-play model probability

Extra pointChapter 01

Cleveland’s extra point misses wide right.

C.York extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-C.Hughlett, Holder-C.Bojorquez.

Before this play
0.4%
Before the next recorded play
0.7%
Reported change on this play
+0.3 percentage points

Jets win probability · model estimates. The next point is a separate recorded estimate.

The probability pathBefore every recorded play · 21 points in this sequence
0%50%100%Play 1Play 21

The horizontal axis is recorded play order. The line ends at the last available pre-play estimate.

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Source play and methodsHide source play and methods

Original published play description

3-C.York extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Recorded clock: Q4 1:55 · Before this play: 0.4% · Reported change: +0.3 percentage points

This is a visualization of recorded play-by-play and model estimates. The final score is confirmed separately.

Published curve data (opens in a new tab)